BTC/USD (Bitcoin) Top-Down Market Analysis — 24 August 2025

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) continues to captivate global financial markets as a high-volatility digital asset, increasingly embraced by institutional investors and macro traders. As of 24 August 2025, Bitcoin traded around $114,276, coming off recent volatility and consolidating in the $110K–$117K range. With regulatory clarity improving, rising institutional adoption, and strong structural patterns, BTC remains a focal point for traders.

This analysis adopts a top-down approach—starting from weekly trends, narrowing to the daily context, and honing in on intraday levels. We apply the Real Trading System (RTS) strategy for structured trading and conclude with how the Account Management & Mentorship Programme supports traders in navigating Bitcoin’s dynamic landscape.


1. Weekly Market Analysis (Big Picture Trend)

  • Trend: Weekly charts show Bitcoin consolidating after its recent all-time high (~$124,500), with the market attempting to hold above $110K–$115K support levels. Despite correction, the broader uptrend remains intact, supported by institutional inflows.
  • Support Zone: The $110K to $115K range acts as a critical buying zone, confirmed by recent reactions around $112K–$114K. As long as BTC remains above this zone, bullish momentum is structurally preserved.
  • Resistance Zone: A break above $120K–$124K could signal a fresh leg higher. Analysts project a move toward $135K in the near term, with high-conviction forecasts aiming for $150K–$200K by year-end.
  • Macro Momentum: Longer-term projections suggest the bull run could extend into 2027, with a potential peak between $140K and $200K.

Conclusion: The weekly bias remains bullish, supported by strong demand and macro tailwinds. Holds above $110–115K suggest upside toward the $135–200K zone over coming months.


2. Daily Market Analysis (Medium-Term Outlook)

  • Recent Price Action: Over the past week, Bitcoin fluctuated between $112K and $117K, with a sharp intraday swing toward $116K–$117K before settling back into the lower half of the range.
  • Support Levels: Key daily supports are near $112K and $110K. Breaks below these could trigger short-term weakness toward the lower $100K zone.
  • Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance lies in the $116K–$117K area. A daily close above this zone could pave the way toward $120K and beyond.
  • Technical Patterns: A potential triangle/consolidation pattern is forming. Breakouts from this structure may define the next strong directional move.

Conclusion: Daily structure leans neutral to bullish. Watch for breakout above $116K or support break below $112K to define short-term direction toward $120K or $110K, respectively.


3. Intraday Market Analysis (Short-Term Execution)

  • Intraday Range: Bitcoin currently trades in a tight band between $114K and $115.6K, giving scalpers and intraday traders clear levels to watch.
  • Support Levels: $114K–$114.2K is the key intraday floor. If breached, price may slide toward $113K.
  • Resistance Levels: $115.5K–$116K acts as short-term resistance. A breakout could target $117K–$118K.
  • Volatility Window: The best setups occur during London–New York overlap, when liquidity and volume expand.

Intraday RTS Strategy

  • Range Trade: Long near $114.2K, stop below $114K, TP at $115.5K–$116K.
  • Breakout Trade: Buy above $115.6K, stop at $115K, TP toward $116.5K.

Conclusion: Intraday conditions favor scalps and breakout plays. Traders should stick to disciplined entries and exits around key levels.


4. Real Trading System (RTS) Strategy Application

The RTS framework combines macro validation, technical confirmation, precise execution, and strict risk control.

  • Macro Validation: Institutional adoption, ETF inflows, and favorable policy support are strengthening Bitcoin’s long-term legitimacy.
  • Technical Confirmation: Weekly holds above $110K–$115K form a solid base. Daily consolidation is a precursor to breakout. Intraday ranges give actionable setups.
  • Execution Plan:
    • Weekly Swing: Long above $115K, targeting $135K–$150K.
    • Daily Trade: Break above $116K signals momentum continuation.
    • Intraday: Play range trades or breakout with tight stops.
  • Risk Management:
    • Weekly SL: below $110K.
    • Daily SL: below $112K.
    • Intraday SL: tight to entry ($200–500 range).
    • Maintain 1:2 minimum risk-reward on all timeframes.

5. Account Management & Mentorship Programme

Discipline and guidance are vital in Bitcoin’s volatile environment. The Real World Trading Community provides structured solutions:

🔹 Account Management

  • Professional RTS traders manage client accounts.
  • Strict risk limits (3% daily, 5% max).
  • Transparent reports and performance consistency.

🔹 Mentorship Programme

  • Curriculum: Covers BTC fundamentals, chart reading, macro drivers, risk psychology.
  • RTS Apprenticeship: Live trade reviews, structured strategy learning.
  • One-on-One Coaching: Personalized guidance and accountability.
  • Community Access: Alerts, trade setups, and peer collaboration.

This dual approach helps traders grow capital safely while building independent skillsets.


Final Thoughts

As of 24 August 2025, Bitcoin remains structurally bullish across multiple timeframes. Weekly outlook supports higher prices above $110K–$115K. Daily consolidation suggests a breakout setup, while intraday levels provide clear opportunities for disciplined traders.

By applying the Real Trading System (RTS), traders align macro context, technical signals, execution, and risk. Combined with the Account Management & Mentorship Programme, community members are empowered to achieve consistent growth while building long-term trading mastery.

With institutional demand, supportive policies, and technical setups aligning, Bitcoin remains one of the most promising trading instruments in 2025.

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